How much should you have saved by 45?

The short answer

On a $100,000 income, about $426,000 at 45, which is 4.3 times salary. That keeps you on track for 65 while saving 15% a year for the 20 years in between, against a target of $1.63M.

Why one multiple cannot fit every income

Social Security is a fixed dollar amount, so it covers most of a modest retirement and very little of a large one. That is why the required multiple of salary rises with income instead of holding at the single figure every benchmark quotes.

On-track balance at 45 by income
IncomePortfolio targetOn track at 45Times salaryTo stop saving
$50,000$493K$92K1.8x$186K
$75,000$1.06M$259K3.5x$400K
$100,000$1.63M$426K4.3x$613K
$150,000$2.76M$760K5.1x$1.04M
$200,000$3.89M$1.09M5.5x$1.47M

Raise it and the balance you need today falls, because future contributions do more of the work.

Set it to zero to see the figure most benchmarks imply. It roughly doubles at the low end.

Where 45 sits on the curve

On a $100,000 income the on-track balance runs $269,000 at 40, $426,000 at 45 and $627,000 at 50. The requirement accelerates because every year removed from the runway is a year of compounding the portfolio has to replace with cash.

The last column of the table is worth a second look. It is the Coast FIRE number: what you would need today if you stopped contributing entirely and let growth finish the job. It is always larger than the on-track figure, and the gap between them is the value of the contributions you are still planning to make.

Both numbers assume a smooth real return that no real portfolio delivers. A run of weak years early does more damage than the same years later, which is why a projection against actual market history tells you more than a benchmark does.

Check the trajectory, not just the benchmark

A single number for your age hides your actual income path, your account mix and what markets do along the way. Run all three against 95 years of real returns.

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Common questions

How much should you have saved by 45?

On a $100,000 income, about $426,000, or 4.3 times salary. That assumes you keep saving 15% from here to 65 and that Social Security covers $24,000 of your retirement spending. Both assumptions move the answer, and both are editable on this page.

Why is this different from the usual "3x salary by 40" rule?

Because a single multiple cannot be right at every income. Social Security is a fixed dollar amount, so it covers most of a modest retirement and very little of a large one. On these assumptions the required multiple at 45 runs from 1.8 times salary at $50,000 up to 5.5 times at $200,000. Higher earners need a bigger multiple, not the same one.

What if I am behind?

Raise the savings rate, which is the input that moves the answer most at this age, then check what it does on this page rather than guessing. Cutting planned retirement spending works twice over, since it lowers the target directly. Working two extra years does three things at once: more contributions, more compounding and a shorter retirement to fund. Being behind at 45 with 20 years left is a solvable problem.

Is this the same as Coast FIRE?

No, and the difference matters. This figure assumes you keep saving. The Coast FIRE number is what you would need if you stopped contributing today and let compounding finish alone, which is always larger. At 45 on a $100,000 income the on-track figure is $426,000 against a Coast number of $613,000.

Assumptions on this page. Retiring at 65 with the plan modelled through 95, at a 5% real return so every figure is in today's dollars. Retirement spending is assumed to equal your income less what you were saving, which is a rough proxy and runs high for anyone whose mortgage ends before retirement. The portfolio target uses a withdrawal rate scaled to the length of the retirement rather than a flat 4%. Social Security is netted off at the figure in the box above and assumed to run for the whole retirement. Income is treated as flat in real terms, so raises you do not spend shorten everything here. Taxes are excluded, so read the savings rate against take-home pay. These are planning estimates, not advice; read the model's limitations.